I predict...

Disclaimer: Some information contained in the post may be deemed offensive. I am in no way trying to insult Americans or their intelligence. I have great respect for many Americans and I think that through the years as Canadians we have many legitimate reasons to be thankful of Americans (as do they of us, but that's for another post).

So why not get back into things with a bang? As a Canadian I watch with bemused interest the election proceedings down south. I don't have a real grasp of how it all works, and I think there are a lot of American's who don't either. That being said, I'm not afraid to make a prediction. George W. Bush by 3% or 4%, he may even win the popular vote. How could I possibly say this?
My theory is based on the fact that a lot of American's are just like GWB and like the "straight-shooting" style he has. I know that a lot of well-educated people would scream at me for this because they vehemently disagree. However, the majority of Americans are not well-educated people of above average intelligence. They are people who learn most of what they know from TV, they stick it out through hurricanes, tornadoes, and floods because they think they can outlast the weather.
I call them the "outwardly undecided". They like GWB but don't have the political knowledge to back-up their thoughts and therefore won't publicly disclose their feelings for fear of being ridiculed by someone "smarter" than they are. They have guns, they fear change (particularly when their church tells them it's bad), and they don't like to speak out. There are far more of these people in the USA than many Americans would like to admit and they have significant electoral power. They don't live in New York, Los Angles, Houston, or Miami and therefore the system for electing Presidents gives them a disproportionate amount of power.
The job of the democrats in this election has been to convince these people that two rich guys from the Northeast will be better than a "normal" guy who says what's on his mind and isn't afraid to start a war. An uphill battle to say the least, and one I don't think they are going to win.